Time series analysis and mortality model of dog bite victims presented for treatment at a referral clinic for rabies exposure in Monrovia, Liberia, 2010-2013.

Time series analysis and mortality model of dog bite victims presented for treatment at a referral clinic for rabies exposure in Monrovia, Liberia, 2010-2013.

Author by Dr. Ayodeji O. Olarinmoye

Journal/Publisher: Spatial And Spatio-temporal Epidemiology

Volume/Edition: 22

Language: English

Pages: 1 - 13

Abstract

We developed time trend model, determined treatment outcome and estimated annual human deaths among dog bite victims (DBVs) from 2010 to 2013 in Monrovia, Liberia. Data obtained from clinic records included victim’s age, gender and site of bite marks, site name of residence of rabies-exposed patients, promptness of care sought, initial treatment and post-exposure-prophylaxis (PEP) compliance. We computed DBV time-trend plot, seasonal index and year 2014 case forecast. Associated annual human death (AHD) was estimated using a standardized decision tree model. Of the 775 DBVs enlisted, care seeking time was within 24 h of injury in 328 (42.32%) DBVs. Victim’s residential location, site of bite mark, and time dependent variables were significantly associated with treatment outcome ( p < 0 xss=removed xss=removed>


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